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Semi Final





Semi Final

More than 60,000 fans will be able to attend the EURO 2020 semi-finals that will take place at Wembley on the 6th and 7th of July. With four teams remaining the semi-finals of major tournaments are always an exciting time, and offer high-quality football with exciting moments, and memories to last for a lifetime. In EURO 2020 we expect this to be the case too of course, but we also look forward to great betting opportunities. For this purpose, we have compiled facts and interesting statistics from previous EURO semi-finals to help us along the way.

Semi Final Events

In the first semi-final of EURO 2020 we are in for quite the treat as Italy and Spain clash at Wembley! Two gigantic football nations, who both were in the talks to win the gold at the European Championship beforehand. Ahead of the battle we have analyzed both teams to offer you our best betting tips!
Team to go through

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England is only one match away from a dream final at Wembley. The last challenger on their way at EURO 2020 is Denmark in their upcoming semi-final. Three Lions are clear favourites, but could the Danish dynamite spoil the plans? Ahead of the match on 7th of July we have analysed the teams, and our betting tip is ready!
Match Odds

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History of EURO - 2016 Semi-Finals

The semi-final stage of EURO 2016 included a massive surprise, Wales, who beat Belgium 3-1 for a spot among the four best teams. Besides that, we had three of the big European nations battling it out, and these were the final results in the hunt for a place in the final of EURO 2016:

  • Portugal - Wales 2-0
  • Germany - France 0-2

The Cinderella story of Wales came to an end as Portugal performed a double knockout in the 50th and 53rd minute with goals by Cristiano Ronaldo and Nani. Following the two goals, Gareth Bale and Wales were never close to recovering and Portugal could move on to the final deservedly.

In the second semi-final, the match was between then the reigning world champions, Germany, and France. Die Mannschaft were on a long string of great results and were looking to go for a WC/EURO double, but got stopped in their tracks by a strong French team. Antoine Griezmann became the hero of the match as he bombed in a penalty at the end of the first half, and proceeded with extending the lead in the 72nd. We now all know that France would eventually end up losing the final against Portugal in a dramatic fashion, but in 2016 we had two great semi-finals, and hopefully, we can get that in 2020 too. Maybe even with a surprise as big as Wales?

Memorable EURO semi-final - Our pick

There have been several semi-finals in EURO history that are well remembered in the history books - how about the English disaster at Wembley 1996? The German 3-2 roller coaster against Turkey 2008? Some might remember the classic between Portugal and France in 1984? Well, all good choices, but our pick is Denmark against the Netherlands in 1992!

Denmark had already reached further than anyone expected, but this is where players like Brian Laudrup and Peter Schmeichel became real legends. This semi-final against the Oranje was a treat for all football fans, as Henrik Larsen scored early for the Danes, but a 23-year old Dennis Bergkamp equalized through a half volley from outside the box. Larsen would however give Denmark another lead in the 33rd minute in what was one of the best halves of the playoff. Still, the 2-1 lead would turn into 2-2 in the dying minutes of the match as the legend Frank Rijkaard equalized the match. In the end, we got to see this semi-final decided through penalties, where Marco Van Basten missed the only penalty - or should we say Schmeichel made a classic save?

Denmark would move on from this magical EURO semi-final and win their first major tournament gold in the nation's history, after 2-0 against Germany. The gold is of course what is best remembered from EURO 1992 for Denmark, but this semi-final will remain as one of the major highlights forever

Interesting betting statistics in EURO Semi-Finals

The end stages of the European Championships are always an exciting time, and especially for betting. Finding value bets and good odds at the end of major tournaments can be a tough task, due to how big betting volumes are, and how much spotlight is on these matches. For this purpose, we have examined the four latest EURO competitions and how the results have played out. This can give a picture of what we can expect in general. We have looked at goal average, O/U goals, cards dealt and if the favourite has won the match. Let’s dive straight into it!

Goal Average at EURO 2016/2012/2008/2004 Semi-Finals: 2.25

Over/Under 2.5 Goals: 4 Over, 4 Under

  • 2004: Portugal - Netherlands 2-1
  • 2004: Greece - Czech 0-0 (1-0 after ET)
  • 2008: Germany - Turkey 3-2
  • 2008: Russia - Spain 0-3
  • 2012: Portugal - Spain 0-0 (0-1 after penalties)
  • 2012: Germany - Italy 1-2
  • 2016: Portugal - Wales 2-0
  • 2016: Germany - France 0-2

The goal-scoring in the EURO semi-finals have been quite the close affair, with an even 4/4 split in the Over 2.5 goals department. The average goals scored is also quite close to a normal level so to speak. From a betting perspective it’s obviously hard to draw any conclusions from this kind of sample size, but even more so when the results are in line with the expected.

Do the favorites always win in EURO semi-finals?

In the last eight EURO semi-finals, we have most of the time seen the favourites and big nations do their job and reach the finals. The exception is Greece in 2004, and we all know how that ended right? Then again, they played the Czech Republic, and while an underdog, it was still less so than if they faced one of the favourites.

There has obviously also been several semi-finals without a clear favourite, as two giants have met each other. This is also very likely to happen at EURO 2020 of course, but it’s clear that the favourite teams usually manage to overcome the underdogs.

Yellow/Red cards at EURO 2016/2012/2008/2004 Semi-Finals

  • 2004: Portugal - Netherlands: 5 Yellow
  • 2004: Greece - Czech: 6 Yellow
  • 2008: Germany - Turkey: 2 Yellow
  • 2008: Russia - Spain: 2 Yellow
  • 2012: Portugal - Spain: 5 Yellow
  • 2012: Germany - Italy: 9 Yellow
  • 2016: Portugal - Wales:6 Yellow
  • 2016: Germany - France: 5 Yellow

Over/Under 3.5 cards (Yellow = 1, Red = 2) 6 Over, 2 Under

The amount of cards dealt in a match is quite an interesting betting option, especially when we get to matches where everything is on the line. Usually, the over/under 3.5 line is the breaking point where the odds line up close to even. We can clearly see that the EURO semi-finals in the past had a high amount of cards being dealt, interestingly enough though we have not seen a red card in any of the eight matches.

Not only has the over 3.5 line occurred a majority of the time, but it has passed the line by a big margin. For EURO 2020 this could as such be a good value position, especially on the high lines where the odds skyrocket. Or that’s at least what history tells us. Analysing which teams are likely to draw the most bookings and taking advantage of this betting market certainly looks like a good option.