Premier League Outright Odds: Arsenal lead the table but Man City remain favourites

• Premier League outrights: latest odds
• Arsenal take over at the top after City and Liverpool draw
• Big wins for Luton and Bournemouth at the bottom

The Premier League gears up for round 14. Betting.com look at the state of play so far along with the current outright odds.

BoyleSports

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Premier League: How things stand

Ahead of matchday 14 Arsenal lead the pack after a late Kai Havertz winner saw off Brentford. Favourites Manchester City are a point behind in second after being held to a draw by Liverpool. Jurgen Klopp’s side are a further point behind, ahead of Aston Villa on goal difference. Villa’s win at Tottenham sees then climb to fourth with Spurs dropping to fifth. Manchester United, Newcastle United, Brighton and Hove Albion and West Ham United all won as the race for European places hots up. At the bottom, wins for Luton over Crystal Palace and Bournemouth over Sheffield United were significant results. Burnley remain bottom, with Everton 19th and the Blades in 18th making up the bottom three.

*Everton deducted 10 points for breaching FFP rules

Obviously the strength of opposition played, injuries and metrics such as XG, XGA and XPTS have a bearing on odds as well as actual league position. Check out our first blog on this season’s Premier League outright betting for more details on these metrics after 10 games.

Premier League outright odds

Betting.com have looked at bet365’s prices for Premier League outrights at 9am on November 29 2023 at 9am. The odds in brackets are the prices ahead of matchday 13, taken from bet365 at 4pm on November 21, 2023.

bet365

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Premier League winner

Manchester City: 8/13 (1/2)

Arsenal: 7/2 (4/1)

Liverpool: 9/2 (5/1)

Aston Villa 50/1 (100/1)

Tottenham Hotspur: 50/1 (25/1)

Newcastle United: 66/1 (80/1)

Manchester United: 80/1 (100/1)

Chelsea: 250/1 (250/1)

Brighton and Hove Albtion: 750/1 (750/1)

Top four finish

Manchester City: 1/50 (1/50)

Arsenal: 1/10 (1/9)

Liverpool: 1/7 (1/6)

Newcastle United 13/8 (13/8)

Tottenham Hotspur: 2/1 (5/4)

Aston Villa 2/1 (7/2)

Manchester United: 9/2 (9/2)

Chelsea: 7/1 (5/1)

Brighton and Hove Albtion: 8/1 (8/1)

West Ham United: 66/1 (66/1)

Brentford: 500/1 (200/1)

Relegation

Sheffield United: 1/8 (1/5)

Luton Town: 3/10 (2/9)

Burnley: 1/2 (8/13)

Everton: 7/4 (2/1)

Bournemouth: 9/2 (5/2)

Nottingham Forest 6/1 (8/1)

Fulham: 10/1 (7/1)

Wolverhampton Wanderers: 14/1 (14/1)

Crystal Palace: 20/1 (33/1)

Odds correct as of November 29 2023, 9am from bet365. Odds subject to change.

Man City retain their position as title favourites, despite losing top spot and dropping points at home for the first time this season with their title odds lengthening slightly. Arsenal, who went top, saw their odds shoreten slightly, as did Liverpool after their draw at City.

Aston Villa’s progress has been noted as their title odds and top four odds have shortened while Newcastle United are still seen as likely top six finishers and possible top four gatecrashers by the bookie despite their injury crisis. After three defeats in a row, during which they have sustained some injuries to key players,Spurs odds have lengthened. Manchester United’s title odds have been cut as bet365 and other bookies have recognised their knack of picking up wins, five in their last six Premier League matches.

The three newly promoted sides remain favourites to go down with Everton, who suffered a 10 point deduction for financial fair play breaches, viewed as the next most likely. After two successive wins Bournemouth’s odds have lengthened. Interestingly bet365 have Manchester Cityand Chelsea priced at 250/1 and 66/1 respectively to go down, presumably because of the possiblitly of sanctions should they be found guilty of any financial fair play breaches.

Bettors looking for value might want to look ahead in the season at things which may affect performance. For instance, several teams could be hit by withdrawals in January due to the African Cup of Nations. Therefore, using performances so far, along with metrics such as XG and XPTS, some may want a speculative punt on a team who they believe can put a run together, or, who they believe will endure a slump and take advantage of the current odds. In the case of Everton, should they keep up their current form they may well stay up despite the 10 point deduction. Bettors need to monitor how this affects the mood and morale of the players and see how this affects their performances.

Check out Betting.com’s best Premier League betting sites.

BetUK

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SBK

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