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Premier League Outright Odds: 21/12/23

Published on December 21, 2023
Written by Chris

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Premier League Outright Odds: 21/12/23
  • Premier League outrights: latest odds
  • Arsenal in pole position but City remain favourites
  • Aston Villa continue their challenge

The Premier League is set for the busy festive period where the games come thick and fast. look at the state of play so far along with the current outright odds.

Check out the best Premier League betting sites in the UK and the best football bookies with

Premier League: How things stand

Arsenal lead the table by a point frm Liverpool and Aston Villa, who look like they are in the top four to stay. Manchester City are in fourth after dropping more points. City are five points off the top and will lose further ground this weekend as their match against Brentford is postponed due to the World Club Cup. Tottenham look to have turned the corner after a blip and are in fifth place, ahead of Newcastle United who are still weighed down with injuries. Manchester United, West Ham United, Brighton and Hove Albion and Chelsea make up the top 10 and are all still very much in the race for Europe.

Sheffield United remain bottom of the table, with Burnley and Luton just ahead of them. Nottingham Forest are looking the most likely to go down other than the three newly promoted sides, having dropped to 17th.

Matches PlayedPoints
3Aston Villa1738
4Manchester City1734
5Tottenham Hotspur1733
6Newcastle United1729
7Manchester United1728
8West Ham United1727
9Brighton and Hove A1726
14AFC Bournemouth1619
15Crystal Palace1717
17Nottingham Forest1714
18Luton Town169
20Sheffield United178

*Everton deducted 10 points for a breach of the Premier League’s Profitability and Sustainability Rules (PSRs).

Obviously the strength of opposition played, injuries and metrics such as XG, XGA and XPTS have a bearing on odds as well as actual league position. Check out our first blog on this season’s Premier League outright betting for more details on these metrics after 10 games.

Premier League outright odds have looked at bet365’s prices for Premier League outrights at 6pm on December 21 2023 at 9am. The odds in brackets are the prices ahead of matchday 15 taken from bet365 at 9am on December 4, 2023.

Premier League winner

Manchester City: 5/4 (8/11)

Arsenal: 5/2 (3/1)

Liverpool: 11/4 (4/1)

Aston Villa: 14/1 (50/1)

Tottenham Hotspur: 33/1 (50/1)

Newcastle United 150/1 (40/1)

Manchester United: 150/1 (100/1)

Chelsea: 250/1 (200/1)

Brighton and Hove Albtion: 1000/1 (750/1)

Top four finish

Manchester City: 1/25 (1/40)

Arsenal: 1/16 (1/14)

Liverpool: 1/12 (1/8)

Aston Villa: 10/11 (3/1)

Tottenham Hotspur: 13/8 (2/1)

Newcastle United 11/4 (5/4)

Manchester United: 9/1 (5/1)

Chelsea: 10/1 (11/2)

Brighton and Hove Albtion: 25/1 (10/1)

West Ham United: 100/1 (100/1)


Sheffield United: 1/12 (1/14)

Luton Town: 2/11 (1/4)

Burnley: 2/7 (8/13)

Nottingham Forest 5/2 (11/2)

Crystal Palace 10/1 (20/1)

Everton 12/1 (5/2)

Wolverhampton Wanderers 12/1 (12/1)

Bournemouth: 16/1 (5/1)

Brentford 25/1 (25/1)

Fulham 25/1 (8/1)

Odds correct as of December 21 2023, 6pm from bet365. Odds subject to change.

Man City retain their position as title favourites, despite more dropped points. Their odds for the title and a fourth place finish have lengthened again. Leaders Arsenal and second placed Liverpool have seen their odds shorten. The bookies, along with the pundits, have acknowledge Aston Villa as serious contenders with their title odds and tiop four odds shortening.

Newcastle United’s struggle with injuries sees no sign of easing in the immediate future and there is a feeling that the top four may be beyond them, as their odds lengthen as they slip behind Villa and Spurs. Manchester United are next in the betting.

The three newly promoted sides remain favourites to go down. Sheffield United’s odds have lengthened slightly since the appointment of Chris Wilder but remain favourites to go down. Luton remain second favourites to drop down ahead of Burnley. Nottingham Forest are fourth favourites to go down after their recent bad run saw manager Steve Cooper sacked. He has been replaced by Nuno Espirito Santo.

Bettors looking for value might want to look ahead in the season at things which may affect performance. For instance, several teams could be hit by withdrawals in January due to the African Cup of Nations. Therefore, using performances so far, along with metrics such as XG and XPTS, some may want a speculative punt on a team who they believe can put a run together, or, who they believe will endure a slump and take advantage of the current odds.

Check out’s best Premier League betting sites.

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Chris is a former athlete and a qualified PE teacher. He is a keen football fan, watching many matches at different levels throughout the season, and enjoys following many different sports. With betting and sports sites, he has a keen eye for detail and can to highlight positives and negatives for users. His experience in sport as a performer, teacher, writer and fan allows him to see things from many different perspectives. Editorial Promise