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Kansas City Chiefs

Pittsburgh Steelers

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+450
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Pittsburgh Steelers @ Kansas City Chiefs, NFL, Wildcard Round, Preview & Prediction

The Kansas City Chiefs host the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday night in this Wildcard Weekend showdown. With a 72,900-strong crowd expected at Arrowhead Stadium, we break down the key betting tips and make our pick.

Mahomes, Chiefs to take down Steelers

Despite a 12-5 regular season record, Kansas City rarely looked like the explosive team we have come to expect over the past few years. But a primetime playoff slot could be just the occasion to get a more dynamic outing from Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill.

The Steelers were made to sweat before clinching their postseason spot. Pittsburgh’s’ 16-13 win over the Baltimore Ravens was ultimately enough to extend Ben Roethlisberger’s (likely) final season. But it is tough to envision an upset, especially since the Chiefs thumped the Steelers 36-10 here in late December.

MarketPrediction
SpreadHome -12.5
Bet MGM logo
+100

Kansas City monitoring backfield injuries

While the Chiefs are optimistic that Hill (heel) will be on the field this weekend, there are still question marks over the availability of Clyde Edwards-Helaire (shoulder) and Darrel Williams (toe). Derrick Gore and Jerick McKinnon are standing by to deputize.

But Kansas City’s formula in the teams’ prior meeting was a heavy dose of Mahomes and the passing game. He finished with 258 yards and three touchdowns. Despite the pass-rushing threat of T.J. Watt, expect more of the same on Sunday with Mahomes dropping back to attempt 35+ passes.

Defensive frailties emerged again for the Chiefs over the final two games of the regular season. First, the secondary was torched by Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals, then the Denver Broncos ran for 191 yards and three scores in Week 18. It remains to be seen whether an aging Roethlisberger can cash in.

Pittsburgh upset starts with dominant defense

With Roethlisberger struggling to spark the Steelers offense, the visitors have scored more than 20 points just twice in their last seven games. The good news is that Najee Harris is expected to play on Sunday despite injuring his elbow in Week 18.

But a shock Steelers win surely starts with a shutdown performance from their experienced defense, resulting in an edge in the turnover battle and helpful field position for Roethlisberger. Pittsburgh sacked Mahomes twice in the December contest and will need to generate more pressure here.

The visitors have consistently started slowly this year, including a scoreless first half in the prior meeting with the Chiefs and just three points in the first 30 minutes against the Ravens. The onus is on Roethlisberger, who could be playing in the final game of his NFL career, to find a rhythm faster.

MarketPrediction
SpreadHome -12.5
Bet MGM logo
+100

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