Can information such as a bad home record help you find winning bets? Here’s what we think…
Steve Cotterill’s disastrous spell as Birmingham City manager finally came to an end on Saturday night, just hours after their fifth straight loss in a 2-1 defeat at Nottingham Forest. Former Swansea and Middlesbrough manager Garry Monk is now at the hflm, and he will be in charge when his former side travel to St Andrews to face his new employers. The problems at Birmingham lie beyond the managerial setup, while Middlesbrough are finding their stride, losing once in five games, and scoring three times in each of their last three Championship matches. Middlesbrough are going into my midweek treble, and at 10/11, they should probably go into yours too.
It’s the Tigers against the Lions at the KCOM Stadium, as Hull host Millwall in a game that poses a golden opportunity for both sides to grab three points for their relegation and promotion causes. Hull haven’t lost in a couple of games but are still only three points above the relegation zone, while Millwall’s top six siege stuttered on Saturday thanks to a disappointing 1-1 draw with Sunderland. Lions tails are well and truly up as far as their away form goes, having won each of their last four on the road, and with Hull desperate for points, I can see a game with plenty of goals. Picking a winner between these two is a tough one, so the easy way out that should pocket you some cash is an over 2.5 goals bet at 23/20 with Ladbrokes.
Nottingham Forest have found a bit of form under new manager Aitor Karanka, and they will fancy their chances of a third straight Championship win when they travel east to face Norwich at Carrow Road. Daniel Farke’s Norwich have had a steady, if not unspectacular season so far, and have been unconvincing on home soil this campaign. Just two wins in six in Norfolk for the home side is hardly inspiring, and is the sort of record that gives encouragement to an away side that beat QPR 5-2 on their last day out. For a Championship match in which neither side has anything to play for, 7/2 for a Forest away win is a huge price, and is well worth sticking a tenner on for a bit of interest.
Wolves will be looking to address a run of form that has seen them fail to win in three matches when they travel to Elland Road for a tricky assignment against Leeds United on Wednesday. A 3-0 defeat at Middlesbrough on Friday night was the final nail in the coffin as far as Leeds’ play-off hopes go, so that could well play into the hands of visitors who need three points to steady the ship. Leeds have scored in ten of their last eleven home games, while Wolves have by far and away the best away record in the Championship, so we should have a cracking game here. Both teams to score look like a banker at even money, and if you fancy chucking a Wolves victory in for good measure, you’re left with a very tidy double at 7/2 with Paddy Power.
Tip of the Day: Bolton can leapfrog their opponents and establish a huge gap between themselves and the drop zone if they win at a poor Reading side, and 7/2 for them to get the job done is a brilliant price.
Championship Treble: £10 on Derby, Wolves and Brentford returns £85 with William Hill.
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