Irish Winner Guaranteed for Grand National
An Irish winner is guaranteed to win at Fairyhouse on Monday after Harry Fry pulled out AMERICAN on Monday. This leaves the field with a fully Irish contingent of horses to run the 3m 5f course over the 24 fences.
Incredibly neither of the heavyweight trainers Gordon Elliott or Willie Mullins have ever won an Irish Grand National between them.
Elliott may have has as many as 12 runners in the race. Gigginstown will be aiming to win this race for the 4th time after successes for Hear The Echo (2008), Thunder and Roses (2015) and Rogue Angel (2016).
His best hopes appear to be Folsom Blue & Monbeg Notorious.
Folsom Blue comes here in great form having won the trial at Punchestown in heavy going by 1.5l from another one of Willie Mullins main hopes Isleofhopendreams. That was after being being headed on the run-in which shows the horses character and determination to win. I feel this is always a good characteristic to look for in a horse.
He loves heavy going and all his wins have come on it and therefore the going will be no issue.
Monbeg Notorious appears to be the main hope of Gigginstown Stud. The gelding has won 3 on the spin since suffering defeat at Fairyhouse in mid-December by 18l and all quite impressively.
Interestingly the horse that defeated him that day runs here but is priced around the 33/1 mark whereas he is around 10/1 generally. That horse is Moulin A Vent.
Irish Grand National Duck broken for Mullins?
Whilst some would argue there is strength in numbers, Willie Mullins has the 2 horses that head the betting market. The horses in question are PairofBrownEyes & Bellshill.
PairofBrownEyes is another horse who comes here on the back of an impressive victory. I find his even more so because he was hampered in running.
He still came through to beat a decent Gordon Elliott horse (Space Cadet) by 3.75l. My slight concern is that he has never ran over 2m 7f and will he see out the 3m 5f over the testing going?
Bellshill won last time out at Fairyhouse. This time he could not encounter a more different type of race than a 5 runner Grade 3 where he can plod round in 4th and take it up after the last fence.
This time he will take on upwards of 35 horses and it will be interesting to see how he copes with that size of field.
Irish Grand National Outsiders?
As mentioned previously Moulin A Vent has already defeated Monbeg Notorious. His form is patchy but there are worse 33/1 shots in the field.
Another of note is a previous winner. Thunder and Roses can also be backed at 33/1 and has great pedigree in this race. Winner in 2016 and 4th in 2017. He seems to reserve his best form now for this race and is well worth having a few pound/euro on!
Tip of the Day
My Irish Grand National Tip of the Day is for Thunder and Roses EW.
Generally available at 33/1 with most bookmakers, shop around for places as some may offer up to 6 places!!