Orlando City @ New York Red Bulls / MLS 2022 Predictions & Preview

Two teams who were shut out last weekend look to get back in the win column after the All-Star break as the New York Red Bulls host Orlando City on Saturday. Check out our expert prediction for the game, along with all stats and odds.

After losing three straight games and going winless over the last five league games, Orlando City has fallen out of the playoff picture. This weekend, following the MLS All-Star Game, they head on the road for a pivotal game against the New York Red Bulls.

Kickoff is set for 6:00 p.m. ET on Saturday from Red Bull Arena in Harrison, New Jersey, streaming on ESPN+ and airing locally in both markets.

These teams have played twice in Orlando this season, with the Red Bulls winning a MLS game 3-0 in April and Orlando City winning in the U.S. Open Cup semifinals 5-1 in July.

In MLS action, the Red Bulls lead the series 9-5 with two draws. Last year the Red Bulls won at home 2-1, and they are 5-2 at home against Orlando City with one draw.

Orlando City Overview

Outside of the 5-1 U.S. Open Cup win at the end of July, it has been a rough five weeks for the Lions. They last won in MLS action on July 9 against Inter Miami.

They have two draws in the last five games but have been outscored 6-1 in three straight losses. They looked abysmal on Saturday in a 3-0 home loss to struggling New England.

The losses have put Orlando City in eighth place in the Eastern Conference with ten games remaining. Nine of the games left on the schedule are against teams in the East, and Orlando still plays five teams either tied with them or above them in the standings.

Manager Oscar Pareja lines up in a 4-2-3-1 and has used the same starting lineup in two straight games. Benji Michel started up top against New England with Junior Urso and Facundo Torres on the wings. Alexandre Pato is the usual center midfielder, with Mauricio Pereyra and Cesar Araujo as the defensive mids.

The back four against New England consisted of Robin Jansson and Antonio Carlos in the middle, with Ruan and Joao Moutinho on the outside. Pedro Gallese started in goal and made two saves. He has allowed six goals in three MLS games against the Red Bulls while making nine saves.

Gallese has started 23 of the 24 MLS games this season with 35 goals allowed and 93 saves. He has seven clean sheets and has allowed at least one goal in five straight MLS games.

Araujo scored twice against the Red Bulls in the U.S. Open Cup game. Michel, Torres, and Pereyra also scored in the 5-1 win.

New York Red Bulls Overview

The Red Bulls have played two bizarre games since losing to Orlando City in the U.S. Open Cup. First, they blew leads of 2-0 and 3-1 at home to lose to Colorado Rapids 5-4 last Tuesday. Then on Saturday, they had just one shot on goal and were shut out by last-place D.C. United in a 0-0 draw.

The Red Bulls have one win in their last seven games in any competition. Yet they sit in fourth place in the East, three points out of third and seven points ahead of Orlando City.

The offense has been hit or miss in the last four MLS games. In two of those games, they have scored four goals each, but in the other two, they were shut out.

Manager Gerhard Struber changes his formation depending on personnel and has used a 3-4-1-2, a 3-4-3, and a 4-2-3-1 in the last three league games. Against D.C. United last weekend, he went with Lewis Morgan and Tom Barlow in a two-man attack with Patryk Klimala and Caden Clark coming off the bench in the second half.

Omir Fernandez, Cristian Casseres, and Dru Yearwood started in the midfield. Luquinhas subbed on for Fernandez at halftime while Frankie Amaya took over for Yearwood late in the game. Amaya and Fernandez have 20 starts each on the season, while Casseres has started 17 games.

John Tolkin and Cameron Harper started at outside fullbacks with a back line of Aaron Long, Dylan Nealis, and Sean Nealis. Tom Edwards didn’t start for just the fourth time all season. Sean Nealis has 23 starts on the season while Tolkin has 22, and Long has 21.

Morgan leads the Red Bulls with ten goals on the season, while Luquinhas has five. Long, Klimala and Barlow have each scored four goals on the season.

Luquinhas, Casseres, and Morgan scored against Orlando City in the regular season game. Morgan scored again in the U.S. Open Cup game to give the Red Bulls a first-half lead.

Casseres has three career goals against Orlando City, while Klimala has three assists. In MLS action, Carlos Coronel has allowed two goals in three starts against the Lions with five saves and a clean sheet. Coronel has started 23 of 24 games this season, allowing 28 goals and posting 50 saves with six clean sheets.

Orlando City at New York Red Bulls Match Prediction

The New York Red Bulls are favored at home on Saturday at -140. Orlando City is +320 to win on the road, and a draw is +275.

The total goal line is set at 2.5 with over -130 and under +100. Both teams to score is -130.

The Red Bulls love to force other teams into turnovers and score quickly on the counterattack. While that worked for eight goals in two games in the last two weeks, it didn’t work last Saturday at D.C.

Meanwhile, the Orlando City offense has been non-existent since they beat the Red Bulls in the U.S. Open Cup. Goals could be hard to come by in this one.

Prediction: New York Red Bulls 1, Orlando City 0

Ryan Knuppel

Ryan Knuppel

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