A heart-breaking late defeat to Iran leaves Wales needing a miracle when they face England in the final round of Group B fixtures.
The Dragons’ core players are looking a long way past their best, and even a win here might not be enough.
For England, the equation is simple. Win the match, and they win the group. A draw could still see them top the section if the USA avoid defeat and don’t win by four or more goals.
Gareth Southgate was again criticised for cautious tactics against the USA, but the Three Lions are in control of Group B.
Total Goals: Over 3.5
England’s match against the USA and Wales’ generally pragmatic approach do not point toward a goal-fest in this match.
The circumstances, though, could mean we get an end-to-end fixture, with Wales having no choice but to push for a win.
This England attack is potent when given space to attack, as they proved against Iran. Wales’ defence can be vulnerable in transition, and England are set up to take advantage of that.
To Be Shown A Card: Joe Rodon
Playing on the right of Wales’ back three, Joe Rodon can be left isolated when Connor Roberts gets forward.
Rodon has four yellows and a red to his name for club and country this season, including a caution against Iran.
Whether having to track Raheem Sterling’s runs down the channel or cope with the mazy dribbling of Jack Grealish or Phil Foden, Rodon is a big-time booking candidate in Tuesday’s match.
This price definitely represents some value.
Total Corners: Over 8.5
Between Wales and England, they have gone under this number in three of their four group games. They haven’t had fewer than seven total corners in any match, however, and the open nature of this fixture should lead to more corner kicks for both sides.
England had eight on their own against Iran and conceded seven to the USA just a few days ago.
With how Wales need to approach this match, 20/23 is a decent wager on over 8.5 corners.
All odds are subject to change