Lionel Messi’s World Cup dream is still alive, but Argentina must win this match to guarantee a place in the round of 16.
La Albiceleste have only exited the World Cup at the group stage only once since 1962, at the 2002 tournament in Japan and South Korea.
Messi meets another of the world’s great forwards here in the shape of Barcelona’s Robert Lewandowski. The former Bayern Munich striker scored his first ever World Cup goal in the win over Saudi Arabia.
Poland qualify for the next round simply by avoiding defeat.
To Win To Nil: Argentina
The narrative is very different after conceding twice to Saudi Arabia, but Argentina’s defence has actually been solid.
Lionel Scaloni’s team have allowed just 0.4 expected goals against across 180 minutes of action, and their opponents have got off just seven total shots.
Poland have taken 15 shots over two matches. Lewandowski is always a threat, but the two-time European Golden Shoe winner cannot do it alone.
Penalty In Match: Yes
Poland are in the top 10 for most fouls and most tackles per match after two fixtures.
Likely camped in their own third for the majority of this clash, Czesław Michniewicz will see his defence under immense pressure throughout.
Argentina have already won one penalty in this tournament.
The dribbling of Messi is a constant penalty risk for opponents, and with Argentina forced to push for victory, there is also an increased possibility of handballs from set pieces or shots on goal.
First Goalscorer: Lionel Messi
This match should follow a similar pattern to Argentina’s duel with Mexico.
A draw is a phenomenal result for Poland, which would cement their first World Cup knockout appearance since 1986.
Argentina are heavily dependent on Messi when it comes to breaking down a low block.
Scaloni’s side could again depend on a moment of brilliance from the diminutive genius to win them this match.
Of course, if backing a penalty, it also makes sense to wager on Messi to score.
All odds are subject to change