As expected, the Netherlands won Group A, but their performances were pretty underwhelming.
Wins over Senegal and Qatar were functional rather than emphatic, and the draw with Ecuador did not inspire much confidence for those expecting a deep run from the Oranje.
While the USA scored only two goals in three group matches, Gregg Berhalter’s side showed why there is so much hope for this generation.
They were the better side against Wales, disrupted England’s attacking play and delivered under big pressure against Iran.
Double Chance: USA or Draw
A negative expected goal difference in one of the tournament’s easiest groups is a concerning sign for Dutch fans.
The attack was lacking quality outside of Cody Gakpo, and the defence was not solid enough to compensate for a shortage of cutting edge.
In contrast, the USA can be very happy with their group stage performances. This team is a work in progress, but they are more than capable of competing with the Netherlands on Saturday.
Total Goals: Under 2.5
The under hit in all six of their group matches combined.
The USA allowed just 6.3 shots against per match, and the Netherlands didn’t get many shots off themselves. This match could become congested in midfield, with chances hard to come by for both sides.
One moment of individual magic could be enough to decide this fixture in either direction.
Most Corners: USA
At the time of writing, only two teams are conceding fewer corners per 90 than the USA. The Netherlands have averaged 4.33 corners against per 90, and won the same amount.
Across the tournament, the USA have had more corners in their favour than against them. In fact, just six teams have had more corners.
The Stars and Stripes are a great bet at this price.
All odds are subject to change