Argentina blew a two-goal lead to be forced to penalties by the Netherlands. Lionel Scaloni’s team got the job done on spot kicks, just as Croatia did against Brazil.
A pair of immensely dramatic quarter-finals sets up this meeting between two pragmatic sides.
Croatia have battled their way to this stage, combining high-level ability with tournament nous.
Argentina overcame a loss to Saudi Arabia to make it out of their group, and have leant heavily on the genius of Lionel Messi.
Winner: Argentina
Argentina have been functional rather than flamboyant throughout this tournament, but that blueprint has got the job done for Scaloni.
They were the better side against the Netherlands until Louis van Gaal went route one, and they have the industry in midfield to contain Croatia’s gifted triumvirate.
This will be a tight game with both relying on moments of individual brilliance to swing the match.
Messi has been quiet for spells at this World Cup, but he is doing just enough to win matches.
Clean Sheet: Argentina
Croatia have found a way to score goals despite limited attacking options. They had just nine shots against Brazil, and have registered only 1.02 expected goals per 90.
Argentina’s defence was shaky when the Netherlands went to the long ball.
Croatia might try something similar, but in general, this Argentina back line has been very resolute with just 0.36 expected goals allowed per 90, which is the best mark in the tournament.
To Be Shown A Card: Marcelo Brozovic
In general, the Croatian midfield has racked up a lot of fouls.
Marcelo Brozovic is the deepest of the three, and will often find himself picking up Messi when he searches for space between the lines.
Brozovic has been lucky to only receive one card so far, which came against Brazil last time out.
Committing 2.2 fouls per match and 2.4 tackles, he’s good value to be shown a card on Tuesday night.
All odds are subject to change