Belgium vs Portugal Betting Tips & Predictions
Belgium against Portugal, Roberto Martinez against Fernando Santos, Lukaku and De Bruyne against Ronaldo - well, you can pick your battle. This match between two giants will be a wonder to behold, and we are hoping for an explosive match. Belgium are looking to finally win gold with their golden generation, while Portugal is looking to defend their EURO title with their old guard. One last dance for Ronaldo and Pepe perhaps…
Belgium has reached the playoffs by rather easily getting past Group B ahead of Denmark, Finland and Russia. Three straight wins with a goal differential of 7-1 tells a clear story of Belgium being on the level needed, but the question is how it will look as the big nations come knocking? This has been the achilles heel for the team in recent years - they have claimed the #1 spot at the FIFA ranking through consistently winning against lower ranked teams, and never struggling at all. However, against tougher opponents it’s a different story, and they have fallen short several times already. Can they finally make it?
Portugal on the other hand had to work until the very last minute to reach the EURO playoff. Considering that they were placed in the Group of Death with France, Germany and Hungary it’s not surprising that we ended up with a dramatic ending. In the last match against France it all came down to minimal margins as Portugal eventually managed a draw (2-2), at the same time as Germany had a late equalizer against Hungary (also 2-2). With a wrong bounce or two, Portugal could have been eliminated from EURO 2020 already, but here we are, and the reigning champions are still alive to defend their title.
Our betting tip: Over 2.5 Goals to odds 2.15+
We are basing our betting tip for Belgium - Portugal on the fact that both of these teams have excellent offenses, with deadly finishers taking any opportunity they can get. This, together with the fact that the Portuguese defence have shown clear weaknesses makes us confident there is value in this odds market. It’s no surprise that the bookmakers are favoring the under markets though, as knockout matches have a clear trend of being low-scoring, but with the odds provided we clearly think it has swung too much.
Belgium has in their three matches at EURO 2020 gone over 2.5 goals in two of them, with the last match against Finland ending with a 2-0 win. That match clearly died off due to the situation both teams were in, and for the longest time Finland tried to keep it to a scoreless draw. The chances in that match were well and beyond to reach 3 or more goals.
Portugal have gone over the 2.5 goal line in all three of their games so far. 3-0 against Hungary, 2-4 against Germany and finally the 2-2 draw against France. With a deadly Ronaldo at 5 goals in the tournament already it’s hard to see them not scoring at all against Belgium, who’s yet to be properly tested. The same seems true for Belgium though - with a deadly offense going up against a Portuguese defence that does not look stable enough against the top teams, we can expect to see goals fall.
Keep in mind that our suggestion is not based on us believing goals are by any means guaranteed, as playoff matches usually will be more focused on keeping your own goal safe. The fact is still that the odds provided are good enough to provide value. It could even be worth going for a higher line like 3.5 as there is a chance a few early goals can turn this match quite chaotic.