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Last-16 ties in the Champions League really don’t come much bigger than this and after a 1-0 win for Paris St Germain in the first leg, Real Madrid have work to do if they want to make it through to the quarter finals.
PSG had the better of it in the French capital a couple of weeks ago and had it not been for a missed Lionel Messi penalty they would be in complete control of this tie.
Thibaut Courtois’ spot-kick save has kept Los Blancos in the tie and with their home record being very strong indeed, it means the destiny of the game is as good as 50-50.
Could this be PSG’s watershed moment, or will Madrid prove to be the “Real” deal once again?
Read on for our expert football betting tips to find out what we think.
It’s hard to turn down a bet on Real Madrid in these kinds of games.
They’re a goal down from the first leg and were pretty cautious in their approach to the game in Paris, with very little in the way of attacking ambition.
But the brief is very different this time around. Only a win will do in 90 minutes if they are to have any chance of getting through. PSG are likely to sit on their lead from the first leg, which will inevitably invite pressure, and the Spaniards have the weaponry to make their chances count on Wednesday.
It’s just one defeat at the Bernabeu in Real Madrid’s last 30 games, while PSG’s away record has been far from perfect recently. It’s just two wins in their last five on the road, while from a defensive perspective, two clean sheets from eleven away games is a very poor record for a side of their class.
And doubts remain about the Parisians’ ability to get the job done on the biggest stages, so while this game could well go into extra-time and penalties, we give Real the edge over 90 minutes, with the home win available at around 6/4 with bet365 as well as with the other most reliable sports betting sites.
With a six-point advantage at the top of the La Liga table, domestic glory is surely just around the corner for Carlo Ancelotti’s men.
Their only home defeat this season came against Moldovan side Sheriff in the group stages of the Champions League, which we can perhaps put down as something of a freak result.
And they tend to turn on the style in the Spanish capital for big Champions League games. We can point at recent home wins against Liverpool and Inter Milan as examples of big results against tough sides.
Casemiro and Ferland Mendy are both suspended for Madrid’s league game against Real Sociedad this weekend but should return to the starting eleven on Wednesday night.
It’s hard to look down your nose at PSG’s run of just one Ligue 1 defat in 17, but the French top flight has offered little resistance to their cruise towards the title.
But they have given themselves a great chance of qualifying for the quarters here, thanks to a quite brilliant Kylian Mbappe goal in stoppage time in the first leg.
The stage is set for Lionel Messi to deliver another classic performance, but the mercurial Argentine hasn’t really sprung into life in a PSG shirt and his penalty miss in the first leg perhaps suggests that his burning desire for the big occasion isn’t as prominent as it once was.
They’re only a clean sheet away from a famous win, but their defensive record both domestically and in the Champions League suggests that’s easier said than done.
This will be the eighth competitive meeting between these two sides, and PSG’s victory a fortnight ago was their second ever victory against Real.
Madrid have three wins of their own, while the other two games ended all square.
The Santiago Bernabeu is up there as one of the most iconic and well-decorated stadiums in world football and has seen decades of success since its opening in 1947.
And Los Blancos has tasted defeat on home soil just three times since November 2020.
We’re all set for what could be a classic encounter between two of the biggest hitters on the continent.
For PSG, it’s a chance to make a genuine statement of intent, but Real have an uncanny knack for coming out of these games on the right side, so we make them the slight favourites to come out on top over 90 minutes.