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Poland vs Sweden in the European World Cup Qualifiers on Mar 29. 2022 - Odds & Prediction

Poland vs Sweden in the European World Cup Qualifiers on Mar 29. 2022 - Odds & Prediction

Sweden squeezed through their World Cup play-off with Czech Republic on Thursday night and their reward is a tough trip to Chorzow to face a Poland side who got a bye to this round after Russia were banned from competing in the competition.

On paper, it’s difficult to really split these sides, but Sweden have a dominant record over the Poles, with just one competitive defeat against them that came almost half a century ago in 1974.

Poland warmed up for this crucial game with a friendly draw against Scotland, although leading marksman Robert Lewandowski was rested for the trip and he should be firing on all cylinders for the visit of the Swedes.

Continue reading for our full match preview and expert football betting tips.

MarketPrediction
Match OddsDraw
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Draw in 90 minutes

If you asked ten people in the street for their opinion on this game, you would probably get five people giving this one to Poland and the other five to Sweden.

And although we associate Sweden with being a tough, organised side, they don’t come into this one in great away form. In fact, it was consecutive defeats on the road to Georgia, Greece and Spain that consigned them to the play-offs when they were on course to automatically qualify for the World Cup.

In fact, it’s just one win away from home in Sweden’s last nine games, so they won’t exactly relish a trip to face a Poland side that have lost just three times at home in the last three years. That said, defeats in 2021 to Slovakia and Hungary is enough to suggest there are a few weak spots in this Polish side that could be exploited.

We’re expecting a cagey game, much like what Sweden had to get through to make this stage. So, we’re going for a Draw in 90 Minutes, which is available at around 13/8 (SportNation) as well with most of the major sports betting sites.

Poland Form, squad news, opinion

It’s hard to get much of a read on Poland’s form, with their only recent outing coming in non-competitive action in Scotland last week, where a last-minute penalty secured a draw for the visitors.

They perhaps headed into their World Cup qualifying group with the expectation that they would be facing a play-off route, having been drawn against an England side that consistently qualify for major tournaments without breaking sweat.

And that was the case once again, although Poland were made to work by the likes of Albania and Hungary to get second place in the group.

A walkover against Russia means they should be fresh for this one, and with Lewandowski already on 50 goals for the season, Poland have a man who can find a way through any defence.

And manager Czeslaw Michniewicz has a fully fit squad to choose from.

Sweden Form, squad news, opinion

It was a tense evening for Sweden in their extra-time victory over Czech Republic and it remains to be seen exactly how much that two hours of football has taken out of them.

This has been a World Cup qualification of two halves. They were on course to top their group after some poor results for Spain left Swedish destiny in their own hands, but their away form completely deserted them at the wrong time and they now find themselves with a tie against Poland that is as good as a coin flip.

Their poor form on their travels, though, is counterbalanced by an excellent record against Poland, who they’ve beaten in all of their last six meetings, including in the European Championships last June.

Talismanic forward Zlatan Ibrahimovic missed the Czech Republic game through suspension but is almost certain to return for this one.

History

These two have plenty of history, having met a total of 27 times, but many fans will be surprised to discover that Poland haven’t beaten Sweden in more than 30 years.

Their last win over the Scandinavians came in a 1991 friendly, while their only competitive victory against them came in the 1974 World Cup.

Since 1985, Sweden have won ten of the last 12 meetings.

About the Venue

This match takes place at the Slaski Stadium in the Polish city of Chorzow, in the south of the country.

The stadium holds more than 55,000 fans and has hosted 13 Poland games since the turn of the century, with the hosts winning on five occasions.

Conclusion

This one really is too close to call, so it’s no surprise that we think this one is going way past 90 minutes on Tuesday night.

With Sweden perhaps a little leggy after their marathon on Thursday, combined with Poland not playing a competitive game since November, we think this is going to be a cagey, tense game with very little in the way of chances.

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