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The draw for the last-16 stage of the Champions League has served up some real corkers and the clash in Milan is one of them, as Liverpool head to the San Siro to face Inter.
The hosts may well have lost to city rivals AC Milan in Serie A recently, but they don’t make a habit of losing on home soil, so the brief for Liverpool is a tough one, although Jurgen Klopp’s Reds are in good form themselves and pose one of the toughest tests in Europe over two legs.
This has all the ingredients for a classic, so let’s get stuck into our top tip, that will be available to back on all major sports betting websites.
Despite home advantage, Inter will be keen to keep themselves in the tie, going into the second leg in a few weeks’ time.
They have the home record to suggest that they can avoid defeat against a Liverpool side that, yes, are in good form results-wise but aren’t putting in sparkling performances and will also have doubts about the fitness of Mo Salah and Sadio Mane.
Both Liverpool stars are set to return to action in the Premier League imminently, but whether they return to their peak levels right away is another story. AFCON was a grueling tournament for both, so a high-octane Champions League clash might not be high up on their wish list.
Inter have lost just one of their last 16 games at the San Siro and although the visitors are the superior side, we think this one will be a cagey stalemate. The draw is available at 11/4 with most of the best betting sites.
It was a summer of change for Inter, with Simone Inzaghi replacing Antonio Conte as manager, while the club also had to deal with a raft of high-profile playing departures.
But the current crop has done very well with the hand they’ve been dealt and after 23 games the Nerazzurri find themselves a point clear at the top of the table, with a game in hand over second-placed Napoli, as well as Milan in third.
They bounced back from the disappointment of their derby day defeat by beating Roma in the Coppa Italia, but the fact that they go to Napoli just days before they face Liverpool doesn’t help their chances if they have ambitions of winning the first leg.
And they also have a poor record against Liverpool, failing to beat them in more than half a century.
The most notable injury absentees for Inter are Robin Gosens and Joaquin Correa, who are both nursing hamstring problems.
The Premier League title race looks beyond Liverpool, but they coped very well without Mane and Salah during January and early-February.
Five wins and a draw from six games is a return that Klopp would certainly have taken if he was offered it at the start of the year, but the addition of the two AFCON finalists undoubtedly adds extra bundles of quality to a side with big games coming up.
On the whole, Liverpool’s away form is very good. Losses at West Ham and Leicester in the league are their only competitive defeats since April, while in the Champions League, they took maximum points from tough trips to Porto, Atletico Madrid and AC Milan.
That should stand them in good stead for this one, but we think they will be happy with a draw that will give them the advantage heading into the second leg at Anfield.
Mane and Salah are expected to start at the San Siro and Klopp has no major injury worries on his mind.
There isn’t too much history to speak of between these two, with only four meetings taking place between the sides.
But Liverpool have the edge with three victories, with Inter’s sole success coming all the way back in 1965.
Their most recent meeting was a two-legged tie in the 2007/08 Champions League, with the Merseysiders winning home and away without conceding a goal.
It’s one of the toughest hunting grounds in Europe and Liverpool will find it tricky at the San Siro, or as it’s officially known, the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
With a capacity of more than 80,000, it is comfortably the largest stadium in Italy and is one of the biggest on the continent.
All three potential results are a possibility in this one, but with first legs generally being quite cagey, we think both will be of the mindset of avoiding defeat, rather than chasing victory.
We expect Liverpool to probe at a stern Inter defence, but we think Klopp and Co are likely to keep their powder dry for the return leg in just over a fortnight.