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Burkina Faso vs Senegal at AFCON on Feb 2. 2022 - Odds & Prediction

Burkina Faso vs Senegal at AFCON on Feb 2. 2022 - Odds & Prediction

Burkina Faso sprung yet another AFCON surprise over the weekend when they defied the odds to beat Tunisia in their quarter-final clash.

But there’s a much tougher test up next as the tournament’s highest-ranked side Senegal await them in the last four, after they beat Equatorial Guinea 3-1 on Sunday night.

The Senegalese are rightly favourites to lift the AFCON trophy, but weren’t hugely convincing at the weekend. Ultimately, though, their quality (plus some poor defending) helped see them through, and they’ll be confident that they can make one more step towards a maiden continental title.

But their opponents on Wednesday are unbeaten since their opening-day defeat to Cameroon and are hitting form at just the right time.

  • Kindly note that all information in this preview, including whether or not the event will take place, is subject to change due to Covid-19.
MarketPrediction
Wining MarginSenegal to win by 1 Goal
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Senegal To Win By One Goal

Senegal hadn’t conceded a goal at AFCON before their quarter-final with Equatorial Guinea, but they were hardly at their best as they allowed their opponents back into the game early in the second half.

And they were hardly ripping teams apart in the early reaches of the campaign. The Lions of Teranga scored only once during the group stages, in a 1-0 win over Zimbabwe, and the two 0-0 draws that followed weren’t exactly befitting of a side with such a plethora of attacking talent.

Burkina Faso, meanwhile, thoroughly deserved their victory over Tunisia on Saturday, in which teenager Dango Ouattara brilliantly took the ball in a tight area before lashing home at the end of the first half.

But while their games have been entertaining spectacles, they haven’t seen much in the way of goals. Three of their four games have been settled by a single goal, with the other being a 1-1 draw with Ethiopia.

We expect some Senegal nerves in this one as they chase history, but they should have enough to get over the line here. So, our selection here is for Senegal to win by one goal, at odds of 9/4 with bet365.

Senegal Form, squad news, opinion

An undefeated record at this stage of the tournament was expected of the pre-tournament favourites, and while they haven’t dazzled onlookers so far, they’re doing what they need to do.

After being pegged back by Equatorial Guinea in the second half of their last-eight clash there were fears that the continental bridesmaids would choke on the big stage, but they regained their composure and pounced on some lacklustre defending to quickly regain the lead and go on to win comfortably.

Watford forward Ismaela Sarr got his first minutes at the tournament in that win, after being out of action since November through injury, and his return will provide an extra injection of pace to an already vibrant forward line.

We also expect a start for Cheikhou Kouyate, after the Crystal Palace man came off the bench to score on Sunday.

Burkina Faso Form, squad news, opinion

The Stallions have a growing reputation on the continent for causing an upset or two, but they were good value for their victory over Tunisia.

Ouattara took his goal superbly, but he will miss this huge game after being sent off in the second half of Saturday’s victory.

But this is a side that thrives on being the underdog and will be more than aware of the pressure on Senegal to shake off the tag of being AFCON nearly-men.

if they can continue their robust defensive showings, anchored by the excellent Bayer Leverkusen defender Edmond Tapsoba, then they’re well in this game.

History

These two have faced each other a dozen times, with their first meeting taking place in the late-1980s, and despite Senegal leading in the head-to-head, there’s very little to separate them.

The majority of the games between the two have ended all-square, including each of the last three meetings, but they share a victory apiece in their last two games at the African Cup of Nations.

About the Venue

This crunch clash will take place in Yaounde and with Senegal’s 3-1 win in the quarters taking place at this stadium, they’ll have a clear advantage as far as preparation is concerned.

Burkina Faso, on the other hand, sealed their place in the semi-finals some 1,100km away, so they have a long journey from one side of Cameroon to the other ahead of them, which could well take its toll in the latter stages of this one.

Conclusion

With Senegal’s history of underachieving, plus a head-to-head record that shows plenty of tight games, this match isn’t as cut-and-dry as you may think when you look over the odds.

Both sides have grown into the tournament, with Burkina Faso putting in their best display of AFCON so far in their win over Tunisia, while Senegal showed great bouncebackability in the face of a setback against Equatorial Guinea.

But with stars in all areas of the team, the Senegalese have that all-important big game experience, and we expect that to be the key difference-maker on Wednesday.