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Leipzig v Atalanta was one of three 1-1 draws in the batch of four Europa League quarter-finals last week.

But that scoreline really doesn’t tell the full story. Atalanta went ahead with a stunning opener from Luis Muriel in the opening 20 minutes, and after waves of Leipzig pressure – including a missed penalty – an own goal restored parity in the second half to leaves us nicely poised heading into the second leg in Bergamo.

Both sides had their chances to win it in what was an open second half, and with these sides being no strangers to goal fests, we’re expecting plenty of action in the return leg this Thursday.

So, read on for our full match preview and expert football betting tips.

Over/Under - Total GoalsOver 3.5
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Over 3.5 Goals

Atalanta have become synonymous with entertaining games, and more recently we’ve seen at least three goals in seven of their last eight home games. Over 3.5 goals would also have been a winner in three of their last four in their backyard.

And you can say the same about a Leipzig side who are up there as one of the chief entertainers in the Bundesliga and Europa League. They’re on a great away run domestically too, winning seven of their last eight on the road, with the only blot on their copybook being a slender defeat to Bayern Munich at the start of February.

And RB’s away games in European competition have also produced plenty of goals. Their Champions League group stage campaign saw 19 goals from their three away games (yes, NINETEEN), while their solitary away outing in the Europa League was a 3-1 win at Real Sociedad.

Switching back to Atalanta briefly, and their home games in Europe have also delivered goals, with ten in their three Champions League home matches, while both teams have scored in each of their Europa League games in Bergamo.

So, this one has all the ingredients to be a cracker, so we’re going for Over 3.5 Goals here, which is a bet you can back at odds of 2/1 (bet365) with the best sports betting sites.

Atalanta Form, squad news, opinion

Atalanta’s hopes of Champions League qualification via Serie A are fading fast, so the Europa League is their only significant chance of securing elite European football for next season.

But this one is very much in their hands and they have the quality in all areas of the pitch to get through. There will be concerns, however, about their big-game bottle, with a 3-2 home defeat to Villarreal in December seeing them crash out of the Champions League group stages.

Leipzig probably shaded the first leg, but the visitors had their chances and hit the woodwork in the second half as gaps opened up on the counter. Can they make one of their chances count this time around? We’re almost certain that they can, against a visiting side that give away plenty of opportunities on the road.

Josip Ilicic is the most significant absentee for Atalanta, with the Slovenian sitting out first-team football to focus on his mental health.

RB Leipzig Form, squad news, opinion

Leipzig have hit form at the perfect time and, considering their away record at the time of writing, they’ll feel they have more than a slight chance of sneaking a result here.

Atalanta are slick operators at this level but they’ve shown this season that there’s an air of vulnerability about them, while a run of just one away defeat since Christmas is more than enough to suggest that Leipzig have the credentials to win this one.

We expect them to attack this one from the off, much in the same way that they approached the first leg, and surely luck will turn for them after they twice struck the woodwork in the first leg, as well as missing a penalty and seeing a header cleared off the line.

Midfielder Amadou Haidara picked up a knee injury at the end of March and will sit out the second leg.


Their first-leg meeting was the first time Atalanta and RB Leipzig have faced each other in competitive action.

About the Venue

The Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo is the smallest stadium out of the remaining teams in the Europa League, with a capacity of just 21,000.

But that doesn’t stop it delivering a hot atmosphere on matchdays, although Atalanta have been disappointing on home soil this season domestically, winning just four times in 15 Serie A games there.


All of the Europa League quarter-final ties are finely balanced, but none of the other matches have the explosive potential of this one.

Other Europa League Game Previews and Tips