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Both AC Milan and Lazio returned from their mini winter breaks with impressive Serie A victories over the weekend, so we should have two sides firing on all cylinders when they meet at the San Siro in Coppa Italia quarter final action on Wednesday night.
The Rossoneri blew the title race wide open on Saturday with a derby day victory over Inter, in which Olivier Giroud scored two goals in the space of three minutes to overturn a one-goal deficit and claim a huge win. Lazio, meanwhile, impressively dismantled a Fiorentina side playing their first match since the departure of star striker Dusan Vlahovic.
There’s very little to separate them when it comes to the recent head-to-head record, and with both sides in good form, we should be in for a close match-up.
AC Milan’s victory over Inter will have done wonders for their confidence in the battle for the Scudetto, but they still have some work to do to convince us that they’re out of their mini-rut of form.
Prior to their win on Saturday they were held to a 0-0 draw at home to Juventus, less than a week after they were dramatically beaten in stoppage time by a struggling Spezia side.
In fact, Milan’s home form is something of a cause for concern at present, with Stefano Pioli’s men winning just two of their last ten matches at the San Siro. That run includes defeats to Napoli, Liverpool and Sassuolo, as well as draws with Inter and Porto.
That should give Lazio plenty of hope and they come into this one on the back of consecutive 3-0 victories away from home. They also have a man in form in Ciro Immobile, who has scored six goals in his last six appearances.
If he can get on the score sheet, then his side have a great chance here. We fancy Lazio to potentially take this to extra time and beyond, so let’s go for Lazio or Draw in the Double Chance market at odds of around even-money with Sportnation.
A mediocre end to the year had threatened to derail Milan’s charge for a first Serie A title in eleven years.
But they should have a spring in their step after their victory on Saturday, although it remains to be seen whether or not they stick with the same side this time around. The temptation will be to rotate a squad that is looking a little light when it comes to depth, and now they are just a point behind Inter in the Serie A table, Pioli may well feel that it’s time to put all his eggs in the Scudetto basket.
They weren’t at their best in the last round, needing extra time to get past Genoa, and they won’t want to be reminded that Lazio claimed a 1-0 win the last time these two faced off in this competition at the San Siro.
The return of Franck Kessie from AFCON was a major boost in the Derby, but Zlatan Ibrahimivoc will remain on the sidelines for this one with an achilles injury, while winger Ante Rebic is 50-50 after sitting out their last game with an ankle problem.
Lazio could certainly do with building up a sustained run of form if they want to mount a serious challenge for the Champions League spots in Serie A, but if you offered them sixth-place and a four-point deficit at this stage of the season, then they’d probably have taken it.
A rather disastrous start to their season saw them win just one of their first eight Serie A games away from home, but they’ve since recovered, winning five of the following eight.
Their defensive form is also very good heading into this one, with The Eagles on a run of four consecutive clean sheets to go alongside a steady sequence of just one defeat in their last eight in all competitions.
Like their opponents, Lazio also needed extra time in the previous round, but that man Immobile provided the golden touch in the 106th minute of their 1-0 win over Udinese.
The most notable absentee from the side is centre back Francesco Acerbi, who remains out with a hamstring injury.
The two Italian giants have met on 64 occasions over the years, with Milan having the far superior record, with 27 victories compared to Lazio’s eleven.
But it’s a tight affair when it comes to games at the San Siro, with Milan only one ahead in terms of wins. In 30 games in Milan we’ve seen 13 stalemates.
The Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, or the San Siro to you and me, is certainly the most iconic stadium in Italian football and has very few peers on the continent.
But the 80,000-seater stadium hasn’t been a complete fortress for Milan this season, with them currently sitting in fifth for points picked up at home.
There may be 13 points separating these two in the league but form often goes out the window for cup games and we’re expecting a close game here.
Draws are commonplace in this fixture, and with Lazio coming into this one in good away form, we fancy them to give Milan a stern test as both sides continue to shake off their winter break cobwebs.