Separated by two points in the bottom half of the Premier League, West Ham and Bournemouth go head-to-head under the lights at the London Stadium on Monday night.
Bournemouth saw their unbeaten streak ended by Southampton last time out, while West Ham are aiming to get back to winning ways following their loss to Liverpool.
West Ham are without Lucas Paqueta and Maxwel Cornet. Craig Dawson is a doubt. Lloyd Kelly and David Brooks are Bournemouth’s only absentees.
Winner: West Ham
Only six teams have a better expected goal difference per 90 than West Ham. Despite a massive improvement in their results since Scott Parker was fired, Bournemouth are still bottom of the table by that metric with by far the worst expected goals mark in the league.
The Hammers have taken seven points from their last three home league matches. With what should be a lively atmosphere, the home team are good value to win this one.
They have the far superior talent on paper, and can expect some regression after massively underachieving their expected statistics.
Anytime Goalscorer: Jarrod Bowen
Jarron Bowen has had 22 shots in his last seven Premier League matches, and has scored three goals in six appearances in all competitions. While Bournemouth have exhibited improved defensive organisation, they are going to struggle to keep Bowen quiet.
Playing up top with Gianluca Scamacca, Bowen is given freedom to attack the defence from all over the field. He has shown good positioning in the final third, and looks a good bet at this price.
Total Corners: Over 9.5
Only Nottingham Forest concede more corners than Bournemouth. West Ham are mid-table for corners in their favour, and only a handful of teams (including Bournemouth) give up more.
Also placing eighth in shots per match, West Ham are going to periods of sustained pressure here, and should be able to force a fair few corners.
Each team has gone over this number in their last two league fixtures.
All odds are subject to change