Manchester City have lost three of their last four against Manchester United at the Etihad Stadium, but the Premier League champions are still expected to record a comfortable victory when the teams meet this weekend.
United have won four league matches in a row, however, and sit just five points behind City with a game in hand.
John Stones and Kalvin Phillips are out for the hosts, while the visitors could be forced into starting Cristiano Ronaldo with Marcus Rashford and Anthony Martial both doubts.
Match Result and Both Teams To Score: Manchester City
Manchester City have kept just two clean sheets in five league matches. United have been a threat on the break, and while they are less dangerous if Rashford is out, they will still create some chances here.
Despite City’s defensive issues, it is still a leap to suggest United will avoid defeat in this one.
Erik ten Hag has overseen major improvement, yet they have ridden some luck to clock four consecutive wins, and they are a long way off the supreme standards set by Pep Guardiola’s side.
Total Corners: Under 10.5
Both City and United rank in the bottom four in total corners per match.
Their marks of 7.1 and 7.3 respectively are well below league average, with only Brighton and Crystal Palace averaging fewer.
There has been 10 or fewer corners in the four of the last five meetings in all competitions.
The pattern of play will not be drastically different even with United changing manager since they last played.
Total Cards: Under 4.5
Derbies can be feisty occasions, but that hasn’t been the case between these sides in recent seasons. There has been four or fewer total cards in each of the last five Manchester derbies.
Michael Oliver, handed the responsibility of overseeing Sunday’s action, is averaging just 3.33 yellows per game in 2022-23, and averaged 3.15 total cards in 2021-22.
All odds are subject to change