Antonio Conte’s Spurs weren’t at their best last weekend, but pulled off a smart corner routine to take all three points against Wolves.
Nottingham Forest are still in the process of overhauling their squad, and come into this match off the back of a draw at Everton and a win away to Grimsby in the Carabao Cup.
This is the first meeting between the two sides since a League Cup clash in 2014.
To Win To Nil: Tottenham
Tottenham conceded just 1.3 expected goals across their wins over Wolves and Southampton. Just four teams have generated fewer expected goals than Forest so far this season.
There isn’t any value backing Spurs to win this one straight up at just 1/2. Instead, the visitors to keep a clean sheet and win the match is the way to go with a 6/4 price. Spurs’ defence has been very solid under Antonio Conte, and while Forest continue to search for more attacking options, they are short on quality in the final third against a team of this calibre.
Total Cards: Over 4.5
Both Forest and Spurs rank in the top seven in tackles per game this season. Only Manchester United have been shown more cards than the hosts, and teams playing Spurs were shown 83 yellow cards in 2021-22, the second-most in the league.
This will be a combative affair in the middle third with both sides unafraid to fly into tackles. Referee Craig Pawson showed the fifth-most yellows per game in 2021-22.
At 5/4, this is a good price on over 4.5 total cards.
Half-Time: Spurs
Wolves held Spurs scoreless in the first half last weekend, but it’s a big ask for Forest to do the same. Spurs had a lead over Southampton at the interval in the season opener even after conceding the first goal.
Conte’s team led at half-time in four of their last five league matches in 2021-22. Given Spurs’ short price to win the match, evens is solid value on the visitors to have an advantage after 45 minutes.
All odds are subject to change