Erik ten Hag saw his Manchester United side dismantled by Manchester City last weekend and made to work by Omonia Nicosia in midweek.
The Red Devils now face an Everton team which are a much trickier opponent than they seemed earlier in the season.
Frank Lampard has led the Toffees to consecutive wins, making it six league matches unbeaten. After narrowly avoiding relegation last season, there is a sense of cautious optimism at Goodison.
Total Home Goals Exact: 1
Everton have scored two goals in four home league matches.
Those goals were split across two matches. The Merseyside club have scored exactly one goal in six of their eight league matches.
Manchester United’s defence is missing Raphael Varane once again, and they have struggled at the back in the last two matches. The visitors are unlikely to keep a clean sheet, but Everton are a low-scoring team, making a lone goal the most likely tally.
Most Corners: Everton
It is often the case that underdogs have fewer corners. But in this instance, the statistics suggest Everton will have more corners than United.
The Toffees average 5.4 corners per match this season, while United are at just 3.1. Ten Hag’s team win corners less often than 17 Premier League teams.
These longer odds on Everton reflect the expectation that United will dominate possession, which is completely reasonable.
Still, the numbers indicate there is some value backing Everton here.
Total Cards: Over 4.5
Of referees to oversee more than four Premier League matches in 2021-22, David Coote averaged the most yellow cards per fixture.
Both of these teams rank in the top five in cards received in 2022-23, and a combative fixture is expected on Sunday evening.
While the line is a bit higher than usual for Premier League matches, Coote’s tendency to brandish cards and the disciplinary issues for these sides still make it a worthwhile wager.
The 5/4 odds are definitely value here.
All odds are subject to change