Crystal Palace’s performances have been much better than their tally of six points suggests.
A tough schedule is largely to blame, with Palace performing well against Chelsea last weekend but coming away with nothing to show for it.
Leeds have just three more points than their weekend hosts, plus are without suspended winger Luis Sinisterra.
Jesse Marsch’s side played out a goalless draw with Aston Villa last time out, making it just two points from the last 12 available.
Winner: Crystal Palace
Sinisterra is a big loss for Leeds. Palace are close to full strength, and have the attacking talent to exploit Leeds’ defensive weaknesses. The White conceded five on their last trip to the capital when they faced Brentford a few weeks ago.
Palace’s expected goal difference isn’t great, but that can be put down to their opponents as much as their own performances. Patrick Vieira’s team are well-coached, and with home advantage, they look a good bet to get their first win since August.
Anytime Goalscorer: Wilfried Zaha
Only nine players have a better expected goal difference per 90 than Wilfried Zaha. The former Manchester United man already has four goals to his name in 2022-23 and will be a constant threat from wide areas on Sunday.
Palace are able to absorb pressure even against top sides, and Leeds will find it harder to create chances against a set defence without Sinisterra. As a result, they will commit more bodies forward, opening up opportunities for Zaha on the break.
Most Corners: Leeds
Crystal Palace average just 3.4 corners per match. Leeds are up at five. Again, this can partly be attributed to Palace’s schedule, but Palace being comfortable playing on the counter is also a factor.
Leeds, even on the road, should have a decent amount of possession. Only five teams average more possession per match, while Palace have spent the most time of any Premier League side in their own third.
All odds are subject to change