Belgium and Wales shared the spoils with a 1-1 draw when they met on matchday three.
Wales, drawn into a challenging group in Nations League A Group 4, have a lone point on the board, while Belgium are three points off the group leading Netherlands.
Belgium return to pretty much full strength here with Kevin De Bruyne back in action. Wales, meanwhile, are without two seasoned campaigners in Joe Allen and Aaron Ramsey, but they crucially have Gareth Bale available.
Match Result and Both Teams To Score: Belgium
Both teams have scored in six of Belgium’s last eight matches. The Red Devils continue to live up to the reputation of Roberto Martinez’s teams by being entertaining in possession and fallible without the ball.
They allowed Wales to get off 14 shots despite under 37 per cent possession when they met a few months ago. While the hosts should have the quality to win this without relative comfort, Wales will still rack up the chances.
Total Goals: Over 2.5
Wales forcing consecutive 1-1 draws against Belgium is something of an outlier.
Over 2.5 total goals has cashed in five of Belgium’s last six matches, excluding Wales fixtures. Wales obviously deserve credit for slowing down the Belgium attack, but it is a big ask to keep them quiet at the King Baudouin Stadium.
Even Wales’ matches have tended to be of the high scoring variety of late. Their only match with under 2.5 goals in the Nations League was the 1-1 draw with Belgium.
The history between these teams might make the under seem like the way to go, but the wider track records point us towards the over.
Anytime Goalscorer: Michy Batshuayi
Michy Batshuayi is expected to lead the line for Belgium with Romelu Lukaku sidelined by a thigh injury. Batshuayi has 25 goals in 45 caps, and has five goal involvements in five starts for his country in 2022.
With De Bruyne and Eden Hazard among an array of talented playmakers in this Belgium team, Batshuayi is bound to have some great chances.
This is a good price given his international record and Wales’ defensive fragility of late.
All odds are subject to change