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Copa America

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Top Scorer Copa America 2021 - Odds, Favourites & Predictions

Interested in betting on the top scorer in Copa America 2021? Ahead of the tournament, quite a few bookmakers offer outright odds for this interesting market. Analysing what teams can go far in the tournament together with the form of players makes for a complex formula where value bets clearly can be found. Copa America 2021 will feature a bunch of players capable of becoming the top scorer, and we will walk through our favourites, contenders and outsiders down below to give you an idea of what you can expect from the South American championship.

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Lionel Messi
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Neymar
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Gabriel Jesus
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Paulo Dybala
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Top Scorer Favourites in Copa America 2021

Among the favourites to win the golden boot in Copa America 2021, it’s not surprising that we find a certain Lionel Messi. The Argentinian has been a goal-scoring machine along with his whole career and he has in over 500 matches achieved a goal average of 0.9 goals per game. If that doesn’t impress you, nothing will. It is still worth noting that his average in the national jersey is at a more modest 0.5. In Copa America 2016 Messi came close to winning the top scorer award with 5 goals but ended up behind Eduardo Vargas from Chile who scored 6 when it was all said and done. However, in the most recent Copa America, in 2019, Messi did not even come close to winning any awards, as he ended the championship with just one goal.

The second-hand odds favourite to score the most goals in Copa America 2021 is PSG’s superstar Neymar. The 29-year old Brazilian is not close to the goal average of Messi playing for his clubs, but in the national team, it’s actually significantly higher. In just over 100 caps he has scored over 60 goals making him one of the most dangerous scorers in South America. The high amount of offensively skilled players in Brazil, and their likelihood of going far or winning it all, also speaks for Neymar being able to win the goal-scoring award this summer. Brazil has another player very capable of scoring most goals in Copa America 2021 though - Gabriel Jesus from Manchester City has been excellent for his club this season, and while his scoring for Brazil doesn’t match Neymar overall, he clearly has the ability to show up in Copa America 2021.

Contenders for Top Scorer in Copa America 2021

Talking about Brazilian players we can’t ignore Everton, who plays for Benfica. The 25-year old forward won the latest top scorer award in Copa America 2019 by scoring three goals, making him a joint-winner with Peru’s Paolo Guerrero. The big question is if Everton will be starting games due to the high competition for spots in the starting eleven of Brazil? Besides Neymar and Gabriel Jesus, also Vinícius Júnior wants in on the action. The Real Madrid youngster could become a wild pick for the top scorer of Copa America 2021, but more about that later.

If we leave Brazil for a while and look at the other favourites Argentina and Colombia, we can find a few interesting contenders. Besides Messi, there is loads of offensive star power in Argentina. Players like Paulo Dybala, Lautaro Martinez and Sergio Agüero instantly catch our attention. All three have a great scoring ability and can score from anywhere on the pitch, and it’s worth looking a bit extra at Agüero, who matches Messi’s goal scoring record in the national team.

Colombia is also an interesting team coming into Copa America 2021, and with that comes good picks for a top goal scorer. The Atalanta duo of Luis Muriel and Duván Zapata have been outstanding for their club, and they could make Colombia incredibly dangerous this summer. Neither player belongs to the favourites with the bookmakers, but if Colombia can reach far it’s certainly not unthinkable either player can score 4-5 goals and therefore become the top scorer in Copa America 2021.

Outsiders for Top Scorer in Copa America & Betting Tips

When betting on the top scorer of Copa America there are a few important things to keep in mind. A very clear detail to research is what players take penalty kicks for each team. In Argentina Messi is a clear choice, and for Brazil, it could very well be Neymar. Another interesting choice due to this fact is Uruguay’s Suarez. The 34-year old striker is going towards the end of his career, but he would definitely like to end his national team stint with gold in Copa America. While he is capable of scoring most goals in Copa America all by itself, the fact that he takes the penalties could help out a bunch.

If we stray away from the clear favourite nations of Copa America we have to mention Peru, and especially Paulo Guerrero to score the most goals. Incredibly enough he has managed this feat three times already. First in 2011, followed by 2016, and finally in Copa America 2019 as we mentioned earlier. A very impressive achievement for a lesser-known player, but also in a nation not considered as strong as the best.

We also have to highlight a few players from Chile in the form of Eduardo Vargas and Alexis Sanchez. Both have scored a good amount of goals for Chile through the years, and their long experience is a massive plus heading into Copa America 2021. Chile also managed to win the championship in 2015 and 2016, and if they can repeat something similar then both Vargas and Sanchez could be prime suspects for the golden boot in Copa America 2021.

It’s quite hard to see players from any other countries challenge for the top scorer award, and we would have to see a massive surprise for that to happen. Looking at the history of Copa America it’s basically impossible for players from Venezuela, Ecuador, Bolivia or Paraguay to become the top scorer. There’s a good reason the odds are massive on any player from these nations to succeed with the task, but if we had to pick one longshot we have a clear choice: Enner Valencia. The Ecuadorian who plays for Fenerbahçe could be a great outsider for the top scorer in Copa America 2021, but that would certainly require miracles from Ecuador overall to give him enough matches to score in.

Copa America Top Goal Scorer

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Lionel Messi
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Neymar
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Gabriel Jesus
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Paulo Dybala
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Lautaro Martinez
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Sergio Agüero
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Luis Muriel
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Enner Valencia
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