Blindly backing all away teams in the English Premier League has loss a massive 14% from 3,785 games. This puts into perspective the degree of difficulty in profiting from away bets in the top league. Part of the reason for this is the bookmakers favourite/longshot bias. As the odds increase, the bookmakers generally increase their profit margins. There have been many more very long priced away team in this league than in the other divisions.
Of course, this raises the question as to whether the bookmakers are now 'smarter' at pricing League Two away teams than they previously were? There is no definitive answer to that question as a sample size of 989 bets is insufficient to be able to draw any conclusions.
Every outcome of every game is possible regardless of the league we're looking at but as a general rule it is easier to make money from backing home teams in the Premiership and away teams in the leagues from League One down. The Championship is probably the toughest league of them all. The returns from backing all outcomes in that league confirm my theory:
The losses from backing each of the three outcomes are almost identical. It doesn't mean we can't make money in this league, it means there are likely to be fewer obvious opportunities.
As with all data, it remains difficult to predict what may happen in any one given season based on these long-term figures, but they do give clues as to where the greatest degrees of difficulty lie, and where the best betting opportunities are likely to be.
In case you are enjoying this article we recommend you reading "Statistical evidence to prove bookmakers make mistakes". It is an interesting read the underlines the fact you can make money form sports betting as bookmakers do make mistakes.